***(…IF we each do our part, of course.)
Back in May or June, I was doing my usual web/news surfing when I stumbled on an article in Townhall.com by a guy whose name I didn’t recognize immediately. Turns out he was Wayne Allyn Root, the 2008 Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee. He’s been making headlines of late with his call for Obama to release his college transcripts. The gist of his post was that he believed Obama would lose in November, and he laid out all sorts of reasons. I was busy, so I bookmarked it to read later, …and promptly forgot about it.
Hey, it happens.
Anyway, I was cleaning up my old bookmarks and luckily decided to read his post before I trashed it. His message was simple: Obama had turned off so many of his former voters that, regardless of what the day’s polls might say, he was doomed.
Before you disagree (or agree), let’s look at a few of those former Obama voters from Wayne Allyn Root:
- Black voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group. His endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-going Christians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in 2008. This is not good news for Obama.
- Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel. Many Jewish voters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict Obama’s Jewish support drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60’s. This is not good news for Obama.
- Youth voters. Obama’s biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4 years ago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people are disillusioned, frightened, and broke: a bad combination. The enthusiasm is long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will actual voting percentages. This not good news for Obama.
- Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That won’t happen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to war with the Catholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued by the Catholic Church. Majority lost. This is not good news for Obama.
- Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice President last time around, and I’m a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands of small business owners. At least 40% of them in my circle of friends, fans and supporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to “give someone different a chance.” I warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism and demonize anyone who owned a business…that he’d support unions over the private sector in a big way…that he’d overwhelm the economy with spending and debt. My friends didn’t listen. Four years later, I can’t find one person in my circle of small business owner friends voting for Obama. Not one. This is not good news for Obama.
- Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White working class voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans feel about the New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.
- Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is winning by 24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama, the more they disliked him. This is not good news for Obama.
Convinced yet? My favorite line from the entire article is the one below, simply because it’s so hard to argue against it:
Will anyone in America wake up on election day saying “I didn’t vote for Obama 4 years ago. But he’s done such a fantastic job, I can’t wait to vote for him today.”
The more I think about that line, the more sense it makes. Apart from some of the folks in the Hispanic community (due to Obama’s Executive Order from June for a temporary Amnesty for illegals under 30) and others who were impressed that he “evolved” in his support for gay marriage (and yet actually did nothing), ….who else is there? Those two groups don’t begin to outweigh the list from above. So what hope does he have?
Well, he has two hopes, actually: (1) the media (that’s a given), and (2) his decision to run the most ruthless, scorched-earth campaign ever.
Before you chalk that last part up to hyperbole, hear me out. Forget all the hopey-changey stuff: that’s soooo “2008″. Democrat voter enthusiasm is down, WAY way down. Black pastors are grabbing headlines, and it’s not because they agree with our president’s evolved views. Obama is well aware that he could easily lose a straight-up fight this year, so he’s decided to try to depress/turn-off all the voters …except his.
Every four years we’re greeted by both parties telling us something along the lines of, “…THIS year, my opponent will run the most vile, hateful, dishonest campaign that our country has ever seen”. In 2012, the Romney gang might actually be correct when they say it, because this week’s ad from the Obama SuperPAC was as dirty as it gets.
If you have somehow missed this ad previously, you might be rubbing your ears, asking, “Did that guy just blame Mitt Romney for his wife’s death?”
If that is your question, the short answer would be: yep.
The last 48 hours have been filled with stories on just why this was a complete lie and, in fact, may be the worst travesty of a political ad ever (look here, here, and here). However, it’s also apparent that the Obama campaign isn’t embarrassed in the least, which leaves the question: exactly what would embarrass them?
Let me know when you find something, ‘kay?
It’s still August, and there are still millions of folks who aren’t paying attention to anything other than their kids’ summer activity calendars and their own vacation plans. Those folks won’t even begin to focus on the election for several more weeks. I get that.
But deplorable lies like that ad leave a scar, and no amount of ‘positive media spin’ can airbrush it away. I predict it will end up having the exact opposite of its intended effect. Much as in the case of Scott Walker in Wisconsin, the very people whom Obama seeks to depress are actually waiting none-too-patiently for their chance to boot him and his entire administration out of office. What’s worse, they’re intent on bringing as many people as they can with them, almost like a pilgrimage.
We’re only going to get one shot at this; let’s make it count.